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    Thursday, 30 August 2007


    Of Strengths and Weaknesses

    Even the most robust ship can be buffeted by turbulent waters. Analogous to the Turkish economy, economists hope that global market volatility over a US-sparked credit crunch will not turn unbearably sour, triggering greater panic amongst short-term investors. While suffering from a number of structural economic vulnerabilities, Turkey's increased strength and resilience should help prevent turbulent global markets from breaching the decks and flooding the hull of the national economy. Read more...

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    Tuesday, 28 August 2007


    Erdogan, Gul Widen Army Rift, Gain Freer Hand on Turkish Sales

    (Bloomberg) Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who chose a shining light bulb as his party's symbol, is struggling to keep the power on. Read more...

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    Sunday, 5 August 2007


    Turkey’s changing corporate culture attracting foreigners

    (Gulf-times) Guler Sabanci is riding the wave of foreign interest in Turkey. In the past year, the 52-year old chief executive of one of Turkey’s largest conglomerates has struck one deal after another with investors eager to cash in on Turkey’s fast growing economy.

    In the past 12 months, Sabanci has inked agreements with the likes of Citigroup, Austria’s Verbund and the UK’s Aviva, raising more than $3.5bn for her company.

    But those deals don’t just signal a new willingness by foreigners to invest in Turkey. They also reflect a transformation in the way Turkish companies do business, gradually becoming more professional, better managed and more transparent. Read more...

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    Turk Leaders Religious, but Economy Strong

    (Commentary, WP) The minute the victory of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) was declared, Turkey's stock market jumped to a record high. The local business community welcomed the AKP victory as a choice of stability and continued economic prosperity over instability and chaos, while foreign investors hailed the AKP government's handling of the economy even before the elections were held. Read more...

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    Saturday, 4 August 2007


    Survey: Turkey Will Overtake G-7 Countries By 2050

    According to a report titled “The European Attractiveness Survey” by global consultancy company Ernst & Young, the seven new global powers will comprise the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China) with the addition of Indonesia, Mexico and Turkey, by 2050.

    The survey said that by that time these seven countries will overtake the economies of the current G-7 countries in terms of gross domestic product. The attractiveness of the traditional top ranked regions of Europe and North America is giving way to a rise in popularity of India and China.

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    Wednesday, 1 August 2007


    64 percent of foreign companies poised to expand in Turkey

    Sixty-four percent of the international investors currently operating in Turkey are planning to make new investments in the coming years, according to the International Investors Association's (YASED) "Barometer Survey," the results of which were announced by YASED Chairman Tahir Uysal during a press conference yesterday. Read more...

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    Tuesday, 31 July 2007


    Turkey to sign trade deals with 18 Islamic countries

    (Turkish daily news) Turkey yesterday announced that it will sign preferential trade agreements with 18 Islamic countries in September. Read more...

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    Sunday, 29 July 2007


    Turkish lira continues to decline

    The Turkish lira slid further against the dollar on Friday and shares and bonds followed suit as global weakness generated by worries over the U.S. economy added to concerns about Turkey's presidential election. Read more...

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    Friday, 27 July 2007


    IMF: Global Growth Seen at 5.2 pct in 2007

    The global economy continued to expand at a brisk pace in the first half of 2007, according to the July update of the IMF's World Economic Outlook (WEO).

    "Emerging market countries have led the way, with China growing by 11½ percent in the first half of 2007, and India and Russia also growing very strongly," Charles Collyns, Deputy Director of the IMF's Research Department, told reporters on July 25. Read more...

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    Citigroup to buy 30% of Boyner, 50% of Beymen

    Boyner Holding announced on Wednesday that it has signed a deal with Citigroup Venture Capital Investment (CVCI), over the sale of a 30.05 percent share of Boyner Büyük Mağazacılık (Boyner B.M.) and 50 percent of Beymen, which is owned in part by both Boyner Holding and the Altınyıldız Corporation. Read more..

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    Wednesday, 25 July 2007


    Turkey's credit rating depends on presidential election process

    (TDN) Expectations of an increase in Turkey's credit rating have been on the rise. However, international credit rating agencies welcoming the Justice and Development Party's (AKP) election victory said it is too 'early' for a rate increase in Turkey. Presidential elections are an important risk, they said. Read more...

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    Saturday, 21 July 2007


    Sabanci says Turkish Economy to pick up after elections

    Click here to warch the full video interview.

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    Thursday, 19 July 2007


    FT reports: Investing in Turkey 2007

    • Politics: Likely to be more eurosceptic than its predecessor, the probusiness AKP is likely to win elections
    • Energy: Ankara is seeking to outmanoeuvre Russia by becoming an alternative energy conduit to Europe
    • Education: A school in eastern Turkey aims to break the mould of the struggling public system

    Read the full report.

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    Wednesday, 11 July 2007


    Arab capital likes Turkey

    Anatolia news agency reports that Gulf States, which two years ago were customers for just 2 percent of Turkey's exports are today buying fully a third the export total, the head of the Turkish-Arab Business Association's (TURAB) advisory board said in an interview published. TURAB expects expects Arab capital to invest approximately $10 billion in Turkey by 2010. Read more...

    See also our dossier on Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey.

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    Turkish economy needs a soft landing, says Kemal Dervis

    Kemal Dervis, head of the UNDP and Turkey’s former economics minister, is happy to see the positive development of Turkish economy. But he offers a dire warning: Global liquidity is not meant to last forever, and Turkey needsa national strategy in case the fault line cracks. Read more...

    See also our dossier on Turkish Economy.

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    Turkey Weighs Abandoning IMF Guidance

    Wall Street Journal reports that bolstered by recent economic growth and strong foreign-investment inflows, Turkish economic officials are thinking about moving their economy out from under the guidance of the International Monetary Fund. But investors and analysts warn that any move will need to be taken carefully, so it doesn't set off market jitters. Read more...

    See also our dossiers:

    Turkish Economy

    Foreign direct investment in Turkey

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    Tuesday, 10 July 2007


    Malaysia Airports group wins Istanbul airport deal

    A consortium of Malaysia Airports Holdings, India's GMR Infrastructure and Turkey's Limak made a winning bid of 1.9 billion euros for Istanbul's second airport on Monday. Read more...

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    Monday, 9 July 2007


    Turkish Economic Growth Accelerated in First Quarter

    Bloomberg: Turkey's economic growth accelerated in the first three months as record exports to the European Union and increased government spending drove the 21st consecutive quarter of expansion. Gross domestic product in the EU candidate expanded an annual 6.8 percent, compared with 5.2 percent in the previous three months, the state statistics office in Ankara said today. The economy had been expected to grow by 5.8 percent, according to the median estimate of 10 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Read more...

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    Tuesday, 3 July 2007


    Turkey/India: Trans Asian Railway

    Plans for a new version of the Trans Asian Railway, which for the first time will link India to Europe, have been set in motion again after India signed a UN agreement to revive the project.
    The Indian Railway board has initialled a UN agreement for the Trans Asian Railway (TAR), prompting 20 nations to sign up to the revived project.

    TAR was initiated in the 1960s with the objective of providing a continuous 14,000km rail link between Singapore and Istanbul in Turkey, with possible onward connections to Europe and Africa. The network was initially divided into four major components and covers a distance of almost 81,000km in 26 countries.

    The UN hopes to develop joint border stations to implement a one-stop-shop concept under which all rail and non-rail operations of two neighbouring countries are performed at one single location in order to move towards greater operational efficiency.

    The TAR is divided into a northern corridor connecting the rail networks of China, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, the Russian Federation and the Korean Peninsula; a southern corridor connecting Thailand and the southern Chinese province of Yunnan with Turkey through Myanmar, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Iran with Sri Lanka; a subregional network covering the Indo-China subregions; and a north-south corridor linking Northern Europe to the Persian Gulf through the Russian Federation, Central Asia and the Caucasus region.

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    Turkey has the most atttractive real estate market

    TDN reports: Turkey has the most attractive real estate market in Europe, said the Property Guide. According to the Property Guide, the Turkish economy has grown thanks to many reforms by the government and as such the real estate market boomed. Read more...

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    Turkey's currency, stocks rise on strong GDP growth

    Turkey's currency and stocks rose Monday, boosted by higher-than-expected GDP growth in the first quarter as well as strong foreign demand despite the upcoming parliamentary elections. Read more (emerging markets report)...

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    Tuesday, 19 June 2007


    ING enters Turkey with $2.7bn Oyak deal

    New development concerning FDI in Turkey: ING, the Dutch banking and insurance group, on Tuesday moved into the Turkish banking sector with the $2.67bn cash acquisition of Oyak Bank and said it would invest to rapidly extend market share by opening branches, improving marketing and expanding internet banking.

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    Thursday, 14 June 2007


    IMF is happy with Turkey and underlines a number of macroeconomic challenges

    On May 18, 2007, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultation with Turkey. Here is a quote from the final document of the consultation:

    "Turkey has experienced an impressive economic revival in recent years. Sound economic policies anchored to Fund arrangements, as well as political stability and favorable external conditions, have resulted in average annual growth of 7½ percent since 2002. Private consumption and investment have been the main drivers, fueled by declining real interest rates, surging capital inflows, rapid credit expansion, and rising productivity. Meanwhile, inflation has dropped dramatically over the past five years.

    The real economy has undergone significant modernization, becoming less reliant on traditional sectors and more open to trade and foreign investment. Exports have continued to gain market shares, as the effects of an appreciating currency have been largely offset by productivity gains. Slack in the labor market has kept labor costs in check.

    Balance sheets have also strengthened. Public debt ratios have come down considerably, and the composition of debt has improved. Bank balance sheets have also become more robust.

    These positive outcomes have been driven, in large part, by disciplined policies and advances in structural reforms. On the macroeconomic side, adherence to the 6.5 percent of GNP primary surplus target combined with monetary policy restraint by an independent central bank have helped bring down inflation, strengthen confidence, and ease real interest rates. The floating exchange rate has been an effective shock absorber and has provided good incentives for managing currency risks. On the structural side, bank recapitalization and enhanced supervision, tax reforms, and privatization have restarted private credit growth, promoted foreign direct investment, and spurred competitiveness.

    Still, the Turkish economy faces a number of macroeconomic challenges. In particular, the economy's dependence on large capital inflows exposes Turkey to swings in investor sentiment (as witnessed during recent periods of market turbulence). Also, inflation well above target (due to a series of supply shocks, currency depreciation, and inertia in expectations) continues to require tight monetary policy. And, in order to sustain and build on recent improvements in growth, a number of structural challenges need to be tackled. These include a low employment rate, still limited financial intermediation, a large informal sector, and potential bottlenecks in electricity supply."

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    Tuesday, 12 June 2007


    FDI in Turkey

    During a recent meeting with foreign investors and World Bank officials, so called Investment Advisory Council meeting 2007, PM Erdogan stated that "Turkey is growing and developing on the basis of economic and political trust. It is also transforming its opportunities to new and rich advantages." The meeting concluded that Turkey made significant achievements in foreign direct investment, which include:
    • Unprecedented success in implementing the privatization program, resulting in recordhigh levels of revenues
    • Acceleration of comprehensive tax policy reforms
    • Passage of landmark social security reform legislation
    • Reduced administrative barriers to investment, particularly the streamlining of work permit procedures for foreign investors
    • Progress in establishing an investment promotion agency
    Anne Krueger, First Deputy Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, underscored the importance of strong fiscal and monetary policies, continuing the flexible exchange rate regime, combined with ongoing structural reforms, to ensure continued macroeconomic stability as a base for sustained growth. Shigeo Katsu, Vice President of the World Bank, spoke of the importance of improving education, strengthening innovation and use of quality standards, and removing administrative and infrastructure bottlenecks to increase investment, productivity, economic growth and job creation. Philippe Maystadt, President of the European Investment Bank, emphasized that continued progress on policy, regulatory and sectoral reforms in line with the EU accession process are critical for maintaining and enhancing investor confidence. Click here to download the meeting report.

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